Txij li thaum nruab nrab lub Kaum Ib Hlis, tus nqi ntawmacrylonitrile tshuajtau poob tsis kawg.Nag hmo, lub ntsiab lus hais nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Suav teb yog 9300-9500 yuan / tuj, thaum lub ntsiab lus hauv Shandong yog 9300-9400 yuan / ton.Tus nqi sib txawv ntawm raw propylene tsis muaj zog, kev txhawb nqa ntawm tus nqi qis qis, cov khoom siv ntawm qhov chaw raug txo, qhov kev thov qis qis yog ceev faj, thiab cov khoom siv thiab kev thov tau zoo dua me ntsis, tab sis kev lag luam tseem poob qis, thiab acrylonitrile tus nqi lag luam tuaj yeem sib sau ua ke hauv lub sijhawm luv.Tshwj xeeb, peb tseem yuav tsum tau them sai sai rau qhov kev hloov pauv ntawm downstream tau txais kev xav thiab cov chaw tsim khoom tus nqi sib txawv.
Thaum pib ntawm lub asthiv, kev lag luam tus nqi ntawm acrylonitrile tau khov, kev lag luam khoom lag luam nce ntxiv, kev txhawb nqa sab nraud tsis muaj zog, kev xav tau qis qis tau ceev faj, tus nqi siab tseem nyob, thiab qhov chaw ua lag luam tus nqi tau khov.Tom qab lub lim tiam, tus nqi poob ntawm acrylonitrile kev ua lag luam yog ib qho nyuaj rau hloov.Cov chaw tsim khoom tus nqi taw qhia tau qis dua dav.Kev ua lag luam yog bearish.Cov kev xav tau hauv qab txuas ntxiv luv luv.Txawm hais tias tseem muaj qee qhov kev nyuaj siab ntawm cov nqi, qhov chaw ua lag luam tus nqi tseem poob qis los ntawm kev ua lag luam tsis zoo.
Txheej txheem cej luam ntawm domestic acrylonitrile kev ua lag luam

Qhov laj thawj ncaj qha ntawm tus nqi poob ntawm acrylonitrile nyob rau hauv qhov kev hloov no yog qhov nce ntawm cov khoom siv vim qhov rov pib dua thiab thauj khoom nce ntawm chav tsev, thaum qhov ncaj qha ua rau txhawb kev txaus siab ntawm lub Hoobkas yog kev txhim kho tag nrho ntawm cov txiaj ntsig ntau lawm.Lub logic ntawm kev muab khoom thiab kev thov thiab tus nqi cuam tshuam nrog ib leeg hauv kev ua lag luam thiab mus ncig thiab ncig.Thaum thawj kaum hnub ntawm lub Kaum Ib Hlis, tus nqi ntawm acrylonitrile mus txog qhov siab tshaj ntawm 11600 yuan / tuj, thaum lub peev xwm siv tau tsawg dua 70%.Tom qab ntawd, raws li lub peev xwm siv tau maj mam nce mus rau ntau tshaj 80%, tus nqi ntawm acrylonitrile sai poob mus rau tsawg dua 10000 yuan.
Tam sim no, Shandong Haijiang acrylonitrile txij nkawm cov cuab yeej tau maj mam rov pib dua, cov khoom siv ntawm kev lag luam tseem nce ntxiv, thaum qhov kev thov qis qis tsis ua raws li qhov tseem ceeb.Kev ua lag luam acrylonitrile pom cov huab cua pom tseeb, thiab cov chaw tsim khoom tau maj mam poob qis.Tsis ntev los no, txoj kev nqis qis ntawm acrylonitrile kev lag luam tus nqi tau qhib, thiab lub siab xav ntawm kev yuav nce ntau dua li kev yuav khoom hauv nqes qis yog pom tseeb.Kev lag luam kev lag luam huab cua yog dav dav, thiab tus nqi yuav poob mus ntxiv.
Kev tsom xam ntawm acrylonitrile mov thiab kev lag luam xav tau
Kev Pabcuam: Lub lim tiam no, vim tias tus nqi ntawm cov khoom siv raw khoom tau nce, cov nqi poob qis ntawm acrylonitrile pib tswj, thiab qee lub tuam txhab loj hauv East Tuam Tshoj kuj tau pib tshaj tawm xov xwm tsis zoo.Txawm li cas los xij, tam sim no, cov khoom siv tseem tshuav, thiab cov khoom muag ntawm qee lub lag luam kuj tau nce, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv Shandong lag luam.Cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau ntawm acrylonitrile kev ua lag luam yuav poob rau hauv qhov tsis txaus ntseeg nyob rau lub sijhawm luv.Kev khiav hauj lwm tus nqi ntawm acrylonitrile hauv Suav teb lub lim tiam no yog 75.4%, 0.6% qis dua lub lim tiam dhau los.Lub peev xwm ntau lawm yog 3.809 lab tons (260000 tons ntawm cov tshiab units tau muab tso rau hauv ntau lawm hauv Liaoning Bora).
Kev thov sab: kwv yees li 90% ntawm cov dej ntws hauv ABS pib, acrylic fiber ntau thiab acrylamide kev lag luam pib ruaj khov, thiab tag nrho cov kev xav tau qis qis yog ruaj khov.Kev lag luam ABS hauv tsev tau pib 96.7% lub lim tiam no, nce 3.3% nyob rau lub lim tiam dhau los.Lub lim tiam no, qhov nce hauv kev khiav hauj lwm load ntawm Shandong Lihuayi, lub Hoobkas loj hauv Jiangsu thiab Guangxi Keyuan ua rau muaj kev nce hauv ABS cov zis thiab kev khiav hauj lwm tus nqi.Cov roj Crude thiab lub zog thiab cov khoom siv tshuaj lom neeg poob qis.Nws yog ib qho nyuaj rau cov neeg ua haujlwm txhim kho lawv cov kev cia siab.Qhov kev thov sab tsis muaj zog thiab nyuaj rau hloov.Lawv ceev faj hauv kev ua lag luam, tsis muaj tus tsav tsheb zoo dua.Cov cua sib tham hauv lub lag luam tseem ceeb yog tiaj tus.Cov tub lag luam nyiam lub teeb ua haujlwm lossis txo cov haujlwm.Nws cia siab tias kev lag luam ABS hauv tsev yuav txuas ntxiv nws qhov kev sib koom ua ke tsis muaj zog nyob rau lub lim tiam tom ntej, nrog qhov tshwm sim ntawm tus nqi poob.
Kev ua lag luam yav tom ntej
Tam sim no, cov khoom siv thiab kev thov ntawm acrylonitrile tseem tsis sib npaug, thiab tsis muaj chaw rau kev loj hlob ntawm kev thov hauv lub sijhawm luv.Tsis tas li ntawd, kev thov txawv teb chaws tsis muaj zog, thiab nws nyuaj rau nrhiav kev xa tawm zoo.Yog li ntawd, kev hloov pauv ntawm cov khoom siv sab nraud yuav txiav txim siab thaum lub lag luam tawm hauv qab.Hauv lub sijhawm luv luv, kev lag luam tus nqi ntawm acrylonitrile tuaj yeem sib sau ua ke thiab ua haujlwm, tab sis tus nqi ntawm propylene raws li raw khoom tau nce tsis ntev los no, nce tus nqi siab.Tshwj xeeb, peb tseem yuav tsum tau them sai sai rau qhov kev hloov pauv ntawm downstream tau txais kev xav thiab cov chaw tsim khoom tus nqi sib txawv.