Thaum lub Cuaj Hlis 2023, tau tsav los ntawm kev nce hauv cov nqi roj av thiab cov nqi muaj zog, phenol ua lag luam tus nqi tau nce siab.Txawm hais tias tus nqi nce, qhov kev thov qis qis tsis tau nce synchronously, uas tej zaum yuav muaj qee yam kev txwv rau kev ua lag luam.Txawm li cas los xij, kev ua lag luam tseem muaj kev cia siab rau yav tom ntej kev cia siab ntawm phenol, ntseeg tias kev hloov pauv hauv lub sijhawm luv luv yuav tsis hloov pauv tag nrho kev nce siab.
Kab lus no yuav txheeb xyuas qhov kev txhim kho tshiab tshaj plaws hauv kev ua lag luam no, suav nrog tus nqi sib txawv, kev hloov pauv, cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau, thiab kev cia siab yav tom ntej.
1.Phenol tus nqi ntaus lub siab tshiab
Raws li lub Cuaj Hlis 11, 2023, tus nqi lag luam ntawm phenol tau mus txog 9335 yuan ib tuj, nce 5.35% piv rau hnub ua haujlwm dhau los, thiab tus nqi lag luam tau nce siab tshiab rau xyoo tam sim no.Qhov kev nce siab no tau nyiam cov neeg nyiam thoob plaws vim tias cov nqi lag luam tau rov qab mus rau theem siab dua qhov nruab nrab rau tib lub sijhawm txij li xyoo 2018 txog 2022.

2019-2023 East China Phenol Market Price Trend Chart

 

2.Kev txhawb zog ntawm tus nqi sab
Tus nqi nce hauv kev ua lag luam phenol yog vim muaj ntau yam.Ua ntej, qhov nce ntxiv hauv cov nqi roj av tsis tu ncua muab kev txhawb nqa rau cov nqi hluav taws xob benzene ua lag luam, vim tias kev tsim cov phenol yog ze ze rau cov nqi roj av.Cov nqi siab muab cov kev taw qhia muaj zog ntawm kev ua lag luam phenol, thiab cov nqi nce siab yog qhov tseem ceeb tsav tsheb rau tus nqi nce.
Tus nqi zog sab tau thawb tus nqi lag luam ntawm phenol.Lub Hoobkas phenol hauv cheeb tsam Shandong yog thawj zaug tshaj tawm tus nqi nce ntawm 200 yuan / tuj, nrog rau lub Hoobkas nqi ntawm 9200 yuan / tuj (suav nrog se).Tom qab ze, East Tuam Tshoj cov neeg nqa khoom thauj khoom kuj tau nce tus nqi tawm mus rau 9300-9350 yuan / ton (suav nrog se).Thaum tav su, Lub Tuam Txhab East China Petrochemical tau tshaj tawm ib zaug ntxiv txog 400 yuan / tuj nce hauv daim ntawv teev npe, thaum lub Hoobkas nqi tseem nyob ntawm 9200 yuan / tuj (suav nrog se).Txawm hais tias tus nqi nce thaum sawv ntxov, qhov kev hloov pauv tiag tiag nyob rau yav tav su kuj tsis muaj zog, nrog rau kev sib pauv tus nqi ntau ntawm 9200 txog 9250 yuan / ton (suav nrog se).
3.Limited mov sab hloov
Raws li kev soj ntsuam kev suav ntawm kev lag luam hauv tsev phenol ketone tam sim no, nws xav tias kev tsim cov phenol hauv lub Cuaj Hli yuav yog kwv yees li 355400 tons, uas xav tias yuav txo qis los ntawm 1.69% piv rau lub hli dhau los.Xav tias hnub ntuj nyob rau lub Yim Hli yuav yog ib hnub ntxiv tshaj lub Cuaj Hli, tag nrho, kev hloov pauv hauv cov khoom siv hauv tsev yog txwv.Lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb ntawm cov neeg ua haujlwm yuav yog nyob ntawm kev hloov pauv hauv cov khoom lag luam chaw nres nkoj.

Summary of Maintenance Monthly of Domestic Phenol Plants

 

4.Thov sab profit challenged
Lub lim tiam dhau los no, muaj cov neeg yuav khoom loj ntawm bisphenol A thiab phenolic resin restocking thiab yuav khoom hauv khw, thiab hnub Friday dhau los, muaj peev xwm tsim khoom tshiab ntawm phenolic ketone yuav khoom kuaj hauv khw.Phenol tus nqi nce siab, tab sis qis qis tsis ua raws li qhov nce.A 240000 tuj bisphenol Ib tsob nroj hauv cheeb tsam Zhejiang tau rov pib dua lub asthiv, thiab lub Yim Hli kev saib xyuas ntawm 150000 tuj bisphenol Ib tsob nroj hauv Nantong tau pib rov pib ua haujlwm ib txwm muaj.Kev ua lag luam tus nqi ntawm bisphenol A tseem nyob ntawm qib 11750-11800 yuan / ton.Nyob nruab nrab ntawm qhov muaj zog ntawm cov nqi ntawm phenol thiab acetone, cov txiaj ntsig ntawm kev lag luam bisphenol A tau nqos los ntawm kev nce hauv phenol.
5.Profitability ntawm Phenol Ketone Hoobkas
Cov txiaj ntsig ntawm lub Hoobkas phenol ketone tau txhim kho lub lim tiam no.Vim yog tus nqi ruaj khov ntawm cov ntshiab benzene thiab propylene, tus nqi tseem tsis hloov pauv, thiab tus nqi muag tau nce ntxiv.Cov txiaj ntsig ib tuj ntawm phenolic ketone cov khoom yog siab li 738 yuan.

Schematic Daim duab ntawm Theoretical Profitability ntawm Phenol Ketone Enterprises nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Tuam Tshoj los ntawm 2022 txog 2023

 

6. Kev pom yav tom ntej
Rau yav tom ntej, kev ua lag luam tseem zoo siab txog phenol.Txawm hais tias tej zaum yuav muaj kev sib sau ua ke thiab kev kho nyob rau lub sijhawm luv, qhov kev sib tw tag nrho tseem nce siab.Lub hom phiaj ntawm kev ua lag luam tsom xam suav nrog kev cuam tshuam ntawm Hangzhou Asian Games ntawm kev thauj mus los ntawm phenol hauv kev ua lag luam, nrog rau thaum nthwv dej ntawm cov khoom lag luam yuav tuaj txog ua ntej hnub so 11th.Nws cia siab tias tus nqi xa khoom ntawm phenol ntawm East China Port yuav nyob nruab nrab ntawm 9200-9650 yuan / ton lub lim tiam no.

 


Post lub sij hawm: Sep-12-2023