Nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2022, isopropanol kev ua lag luam tag nrho yog dominated los ntawm nruab nrab qis theem shocks.Kev ua lag luam Jiangsu ua piv txwv, tus nqi lag luam nruab nrab hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo yog 7343 yuan / ton, nce 0.62% lub hli nyob rau lub hli thiab nqis 11.17% xyoo rau xyoo.Ntawm lawv, tus nqi siab tshaj plaws yog 8000 yuan / tuj, uas tshwm sim nyob rau hauv nruab nrab lub Peb Hlis, tus nqi qis tshaj yog 7000 yuan / tuj, thiab nws tshwm sim nyob rau hauv qis qis ntawm lub Plaub Hlis.Tus nqi sib txawv ntawm qhov siab kawg thiab qhov qis kawg yog 1000 yuan / tuj, nrog rau qhov amplitude ntawm 14.29%.
Interval fluctuation amplitude yog txwv

Hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2022, isopropanol kev ua lag luam yuav pib qhia qhov sib txawv ntawm thawj zaug nce thiab tom qab ntawd poob qis, tab sis qhov chaw hloov pauv yog qhov txwv.Los ntawm Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj mus rau Lub Peb Hlis Ntuj, lub khw isopropanol tau nce siab.Thaum pib ntawm Lub Caij Nplooj Ntoos Hlav, kev ua lag luam kev lag luam maj mam poob qis, qhov kev txiav txim lag luam feem ntau tos-thiab-pom, thiab cov nqi lag luam pib hloov pauv ntawm 7050-7250 yuan / tuj;Tom qab rov qab los ntawm Lub Caij Nplooj Ntoos Hlav, cov khoom siv raw khoom acetone thiab propylene ua lag luam tau nce mus rau qhov sib txawv, ua rau muaj kev txaus siab ntawm isopropanol cov nroj tsuag kom nce.Lub hom phiaj ntawm domestic isopropanol kev lag luam kev sib tham sai sai tau nce mus rau 7500-7550 yuan / tuj, tab sis lub lag luam maj mam poob rov qab mus rau 7250-7300 yuan / tuj vim lub sluggish rov qab los ntawm lub davhlau ya nyob twg thov;Hauv lub Peb Hlis, qhov kev thov xa tawm tau muaj zog.Qee cov nroj tsuag isopropanol raug xa tawm mus rau qhov chaw nres nkoj, thiab tus nqi pem hauv ntej ntawm WTI cov roj av tau nrawm dua $ 120 / chim.Qhov kev thov ntawm isopropanol cov nroj tsuag thiab kev ua lag luam txuas ntxiv mus.Raws li kev xav ntawm kev yuav khoom hauv qab, qhov kev xav yuav nce ntxiv.Los ntawm nruab nrab lub Peb Hlis, kev ua lag luam tau nce mus rau qib siab ntawm 7900-8000 yuan / ton.Txij lub Peb Hlis mus txog rau lub Plaub Hlis kawg, kev ua lag luam isopropanol txuas ntxiv poob.Ntawm ib sab, Ningbo Juhua lub isopropanol chav tsev tau ua tiav cov khoom tsim tawm thiab xa tawm hauv lub Peb Hlis, thiab cov khoom lag luam thiab kev xav tau sib npaug tau tawg dua.Ntawm qhov tod tes, nyob rau lub Plaub Hlis, lub regional logistics thauj muaj peev xwm poob qis, ua rau maj mam contraction ntawm domestic kev thov.Nyob ze lub Plaub Hlis, tus nqi lag luam poob rov qab rau qib qis ntawm 7000-7100 yuan / ton.Txij lub Tsib Hlis mus txog rau Lub Rau Hli, kev ua lag luam isopropanol tau tswj hwm los ntawm qhov nqaim ntau yam kev poob siab.Tom qab tsis tu ncua ntawm tus nqi hauv lub Plaub Hlis, qee qhov hauv tsevisopropyl cawvcov chav nyob tau raug kaw rau kev saib xyuas, thiab tus nqi lag luam tau nruj, tab sis qhov kev thov hauv tsev tau tiaj tus.Tom qab ua tiav ntawm kev xa tawm cov khoom lag luam, tus nqi lag luam pom tsis txaus nce lub zog.Nyob rau theem no, kev lag luam kev lag luam tseem ceeb yog 7200-7400 yuan / tuj.
Txoj kev nce ntawm tag nrho cov khoom siv yog qhov pom tseeb, thiab qhov kev thov xa tawm kuj tseem nce ntxiv

Hais txog kev tsim khoom hauv tsev: Ningbo Juhua lub 50000 t / ib isopropanol chav tsev tau ua tiav thiab xa tawm hauv lub Peb Hlis, tab sis tib lub sijhawm, Dongying Haike's 50000 t / ib isopropanol chav tsev tau raug tshem tawm.Raws li cov txheej txheem ntawm Zhuochuang Cov Ntaub Ntawv, nws raug tshem tawm los ntawm isopropanol ntau lawm, ua rau cov khoom siv isopropanol hauv tsev ruaj khov ntawm 1.158 lab tons.Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm cov zis, lub export xav tau nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo yog ncaj ncees, thiab cov zis qhia ib tug upward trend.Raws li kev txheeb cais ntawm Zhuochuang Cov Ntaub Ntawv, nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2022, Tuam Tshoj cov isopropanol cov zis yuav yog li ntawm 255900 tons, nce 60000 tons xyoo-rau-xyoo, nrog kev loj hlob ntawm 30.63%.
Ntshuam: Vim qhov nce ntawm cov khoom siv hauv tsev thiab cov khoom seem ntawm cov khoom siv hauv tsev thiab kev xav tau, cov ntim ntshuam qhia qhov kev poob qis.Txij thaum Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Rau Hli 2022, Tuam Tshoj tag nrho cov khoom xa tawm ntawm isopropyl cawv yog kwv yees li 19300 tons, ib xyoos ib zaug txo ntawm 2200 tons, lossis 10.23%.
Hais txog kev xa tawm: Tam sim no, cov khoom siv hauv tsev tsis tau txo qis, thiab qee lub chaw tsim khoom tseem cia siab rau qhov kev xav tau ntawm kev xa tawm rau cov khoom muag siab.Txij Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Rau Hli 2022, Tuam Tshoj tag nrho cov khoom xa tawm ntawm isopropanol yuav yog li ntawm 89300 tons, nce ntawm 42100 tons lossis 89.05% xyoo rau xyoo.
Tag nrho cov nyiaj tau los thiab tawm los sib txawv ntawm cov txheej txheem dual

Raws li kev suav ntawm cov txiaj ntsig theoretical tag nrho cov qauv ntawm isopropanol, theoretical tag nrho cov txiaj ntsig ntawm acetone hydrogenation isopropanol txheej txheem hauv thawj ib nrab xyoo 2022 yuav yog 603 yuan / tuj, 630 yuan / ton siab dua li tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los, 2333.33% siab dua. tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los;Cov txiaj ntsig theoretical tag nrho ntawm propylene hydration isopropanol txheej txheem yog 120 yuan / tuj, 1138 yuan / ton qis dua li ntawm tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los, 90.46% qis dua li ntawm tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los.Nws tuaj yeem pom los ntawm daim ntawv sib piv ntawm cov txiaj ntsig tag nrho ntawm ob txoj kev isopropanol uas nyob rau xyoo 2022, qhov kev xav tau ntawm cov txheej txheem isopropanol yuav sib txawv, qhov theoretical tag nrho cov txiaj ntsig ntawm cov txheej txheem acetone hydrogenation yuav ruaj khov, thiab qhov nruab nrab cov nyiaj tau los txhua hli yuav hloov pauv hauv thaj tsam ntawm 500-700 yuan / tuj, tab sis qhov theoretical tag nrho cov txiaj ntsig ntawm cov txheej txheem propylene hydration ib zaug poob ze li 600 yuan / tuj.Piv nrog rau ob txheej txheem, cov txiaj ntsig ntawm acetone hydrogenation isopropanol txheej txheem zoo dua li cov txheej txheem propylene hydration.
Los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv ntawm isopropanol ntau lawm thiab kev thov nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no, qhov kev loj hlob ntawm cov kev thov hauv tsev tsis tau khaws cia nrog lub peev xwm nthuav dav.Nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv ntawm oversupply mus sij hawm ntev, lub theoretical profitability ntawm isopropanol nroj tsuag tau dhau los ua ib qho tseem ceeb ntawm kev txiav txim siab theem ntawm kev ua haujlwm.Xyoo 2022, cov txiaj ntsig tag nrho ntawm acetone hydrogenation isopropanol txheej txheem yuav ua tau zoo dua li ntawm propylene hydration, ua rau cov zis ntawm acetone hydrogenation isopropanol cog ntau dua li ntawm propylene hydration.Raws li kev soj ntsuam cov ntaub ntawv, thawj ib nrab xyoo 2022, kev tsim cov isopropanol los ntawm acetone hydrogenation yuav suav txog 80.73% ntawm tag nrho lub teb chaws tsim.
Tsom ntsoov rau tus nqi sab kev sib piv thiab kev thov xa tawm hauv ib nrab xyoo thib ob
Nyob rau hauv ib nrab ntawm 2022, los ntawm kev xav ntawm cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau, tsis muaj isopropanol tshiab tau muab tso rau hauv kev ua lag luam tam sim no.Lub peev xwm isopropanol hauv tsev yuav nyob twj ywm ntawm 1.158 lab tons, thiab cov khoom tsim tawm hauv tsev yuav tseem yog tsim los ntawm cov txheej txheem acetone hydrogenation.Nrog rau qhov nce ntawm kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb stagnation, qhov kev thov rau isopropanol xa tawm yuav tsis muaj zog.Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, qhov kev thov hauv lub davhlau ya nyob twg yuav rov qab maj mam, lossis qhov xwm txheej ntawm "lub caij ncov tsis muaj kev vam meej" yuav tshwm sim.Nyob rau hauv ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, lub siab ntawm cov khoom thiab kev thov yuav nyob twj ywm tsis hloov.Los ntawm qhov kev xav ntawm tus nqi, txiav txim siab tias qee qhov tshiab phenol ketone cov nroj tsuag yuav raug muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm hauv ib nrab xyoo, cov khoom lag luam acetone tseem yuav dhau qhov kev thov, thiab tus nqi ntawm acetone raws li cov khoom siv raw yuav txuas ntxiv mus. hloov pauv ntawm qhov nruab nrab qis;Nyob rau hauv lub thib ob ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, cuam tshuam los ntawm cov paj laum nce txoj cai ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve thiab kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev lag luam kev lag luam nyob hauv Europe thiab Tebchaws Meskas, qhov chaw nruab nrab ntawm lub ntiajteb txawj nqus ntawm cov nqi roj thoob ntiaj teb yuav txav mus los.Tus nqi sab yog qhov tseem ceeb cuam tshuam rau tus nqi propylene.Cov nqi lag luam propylene nyob rau hauv ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo yuav poob qis piv nrog rau thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo.Hauv ib lo lus, tus nqi siab ntawm isopropanol cov tuam txhab hauv cov txheej txheem acetone hydrogenation tsis loj rau lub sijhawm tam sim no, thiab tus nqi siab ntawm isopropanol cov tuam txhab hauv propylene hydration txheej txheem yuav tsum yooj yim, tab sis tib lub sijhawm, vim tsis muaj txiaj ntsig. kev txhawb nqa hauv tus nqi, lub zog rov qab los ntawm isopropanol kev ua lag luam kuj tsis txaus.Nws cia siab tias isopropanol kev ua lag luam yuav tuav ib qho kev poob siab nyob rau hauv ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, ua tib zoo saib xyuas cov nqi ntawm acetone thiab cov kev hloov pauv ntawm cov khoom xa tawm.

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