Tag nrho cov peev txheej ntawm epoxy propane yog ze li ntawm 10 lab tons!

 

Nyob rau hauv tsib lub xyoos dhau los, lub peev xwm ntau lawm siv tus nqi ntawm epoxy propane nyob rau hauv Tuam Tshoj feem ntau tseem nyob saum 80%. Txawm li cas los xij, txij li xyoo 2020, qhov ceev ntawm kev xa khoom muaj peev xwm tau nrawm dua, uas tau ua rau txo qis ntawm kev cia siab rau kev xa khoom. Nws cia siab tias yav tom ntej, nrog rau kev ntxiv cov peev txheej tshiab hauv Suav teb, epoxy propane yuav ua tiav kev hloov pauv hloov pauv thiab yuav nrhiav kev xa tawm.

 

Raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Luft thiab Bloomberg, txij li thaum kawg ntawm 2022, lub ntiaj teb no muaj peev xwm ntawm epoxy propane yog kwv yees li 12.5 lab tons, feem ntau yog concentrated nyob rau hauv Northeast Asia, North America, thiab Europe. Ntawm lawv, Tuam Tshoj lub peev xwm ntau lawm tau mus txog 4.84 lab tons, suav txog ze li 40%, qeb thib ib hauv ntiaj teb. Nws tau cia siab tias nyob nruab nrab ntawm 2023 thiab 2025, lub ntiaj teb tshiab tsim muaj peev xwm ntawm epoxy propane yuav muaj zog hauv Suav teb, nrog rau kev loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm ntau dua 25%. Thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2025, Tuam Tshoj tag nrho cov peev txheej tsim khoom yuav nyob ze rau 10 lab tons, nrog rau lub ntiaj teb cov peev txheej tsim tau ntau dua 40%.

 

Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm kev thov, lub downstream ntawm epoxy propane nyob rau hauv Tuam Tshoj yog tsuas yog siv rau zus tau tej cov polyether polyols, accounting rau ntau tshaj 70%. Txawm li cas los xij, polyether polyols tau nkag mus rau qhov xwm txheej ntawm overcapacity, yog li kev tsim khoom ntau ntxiv yuav tsum tau zom los ntawm kev xa tawm. Peb pom muaj kev sib raug zoo ntawm kev tsim cov tsheb tshiab lub zog, rooj tog khw muag khoom thiab cov khoom xa tawm, thiab qhov kev xav tau ntawm propylene oxide piv rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los. Nyob rau lub Yim Hli, kev muag khoom ntawm cov rooj tog zaum thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tshiab tau ua tau zoo, thaum lub sij hawm xa tawm ntawm cov rooj tog zaum txuas ntxiv poob qis xyoo-rau-xyoo. Yog li ntawd, kev ua tau zoo ntawm cov rooj tog zaum hauv tsev thiab lub zog tshiab tsheb tseem yuav txhawb nqa qhov kev thov rau epoxy propane nyob rau lub sijhawm luv.

 

Qhov tseem ceeb nce hauv styrene ntau lawm muaj peev xwm thiab intensified kev sib tw

 

Kev lag luam styrene hauv Suav teb tau nkag mus rau theem paub tab, nrog rau qib siab ntawm kev lag luam liberalization thiab tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam kev lag luam nkag. Kev faib khoom muaj peev xwm yog tsim los ntawm cov tuam txhab loj xws li Sinopec thiab PetroChina, nrog rau cov tuam txhab ntiag tug thiab kev sib koom ua lag luam. Thaum lub Cuaj Hlis 26, 2019, styrene yav tom ntej tau raug teev npe thiab hloov pauv ntawm Dalian Cov Khoom Muag Khoom Muag.

Raws li qhov txuas tseem ceeb hauv kev lag luam sab saud thiab qis qis, styrene plays lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb hauv kev tsim cov roj av, thee, roj hmab, plastics, thiab lwm yam khoom. Nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no, Tuam Tshoj tus styrene ntau lawm muaj peev xwm thiab cov zis tau loj hlob sai. Xyoo 2022, tag nrho cov peev txheej ntawm styrene hauv Suav teb tau nce mus txog 17.37 lab tons, nce ntawm 3.09 lab tons piv rau xyoo dhau los. Yog tias cov khoom siv tau npaj tuaj yeem muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm raws sijhawm, tag nrho cov peev txheej yuav ncav cuag 21.67 lab tons, nce 4.3 lab tons.

 

Nyob nruab nrab ntawm 2020 thiab 2022, Tuam Tshoj tus styrene ntau lawm mus txog 10.07 lab tons, 12.03 lab tons, thiab 13.88 lab tons, feem; Lub ntim ntim yog 2.83 lab tons, 1.69 lab tons, thiab 1.14 lab tons raws li; Lub ntim export yog 27000 tons, 235000 tons, thiab 563000 tons, feem. Ua ntej xyoo 2022, Tuam Tshoj tau ua tus xa khoom ntawm styrene, tab sis tus kheej-sufficiency ntawm styrene hauv Suav teb tau nce mus txog 96% hauv 2022. Nws xav tias los ntawm 2024 lossis 2025, qhov ntim thiab xa tawm yuav ncav cuag qhov sib npaug, thiab Tuam Tshoj yuav dhau los ua tus xa tawm ntawm styrene.

 

Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm downstream noj, styrene tsuas yog siv rau zus tau tej cov khoom xws li PS, EPS, thiab ABS. Ntawm lawv, qhov kev faib ua feem ntawm PS, EPS, thiab ABS yog 24.6%, 24.3%, thiab 21%, feem. Txawm li cas los xij, kev siv lub peev xwm mus sij hawm ntev ntawm PS thiab EPS tsis txaus, thiab lub peev xwm tshiab tau txwv nyob rau xyoo tas los no. Nyob rau hauv sib piv, ABS tau tsis tu ncua xav tau vim nws cov concentrated ntau lawm muaj peev xwm faib thiab muaj nuj nqis kev lag luam profits. Nyob rau hauv 2022, lub domestic ABS tsim muaj peev xwm yog 5.57 lab tons. Nyob rau hauv lub xyoo tom ntej, domestic ABS npaj yuav ua kom muaj peev xwm ntau lawm los ntawm kwv yees li 5.16 lab tons hauv ib xyoos, ncav cuag tag nrho cov peev txheej ntawm 9.36 lab tons hauv ib xyoos. Nrog rau kev tsim cov khoom siv tshiab no, nws xav tias qhov kev faib ua feem ntawm ABS kev noj nyob rau hauv downstream styrene noj yuav maj mam nce yav tom ntej. Yog tias qhov kev npaj tsim tawm hauv qab tuaj yeem ua tiav, nws xav tias ABS yuav dhau EPS ua cov khoom lag luam loj tshaj plaws ntawm styrene hauv 2024 lossis 2025.

 

Txawm li cas los xij, kev lag luam hauv tsev EPS tab tom ntsib qhov xwm txheej ntawm kev xa khoom ntau dhau, nrog cov yam ntxwv muag khoom hauv cheeb tsam. Kev cuam tshuam los ntawm COVID-19, lub xeev txoj cai tswj hwm kev lag luam vaj tsev, kev tshem tawm txoj cai faib nyiaj los ntawm kev ua lag luam khoom siv hauv tsev, thiab qhov nyuaj macro ntshuam thiab xa tawm ib puag ncig, qhov kev thov ntawm EPS kev ua lag luam yog nyob rau hauv siab. Txawm li cas los xij, vim muaj ntau cov peev txheej ntawm styrene thiab qhov kev thov dav dav rau ntau yam khoom zoo, ua ke nrog kev lag luam tsis tshua muaj kev cuam tshuam, EPS tshiab muaj peev xwm txuas ntxiv mus. Txawm li cas los xij, tawm tsam qhov cuam tshuam ntawm qhov nyuaj hauv kev sib piv cov kev xav tau qis qis, qhov tshwm sim ntawm "kev koom tes" hauv kev lag luam EPS hauv tsev tuaj yeem nce ntxiv.

 

Raws li rau PS kev ua lag luam, txawm hais tias tag nrho cov peev txheej tsim tau mus txog 7.24 lab tons, nyob rau xyoo tom ntej, PS npaj yuav ntxiv kwv yees li 2.41 lab tons / xyoo ntawm lub peev xwm tsim tawm tshiab, nce mus txog tag nrho cov peev txheej ntawm 9.65 lab tons / xyoo. Txawm li cas los xij, muab qhov kev ua haujlwm tsis zoo ntawm PS, nws xav tias ntau lub peev xwm tsim tawm tshiab yuav nyuaj rau kev pib tsim khoom raws sijhawm, thiab kev siv qis qis qis yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau ntxiv.

 

Hais txog kev lag luam ntws, yav dhau los, styrene los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas, Middle East, Europe, thiab Southeast Asia ntws mus rau Northeast Asia, India, thiab South America. Txawm li cas los xij, xyoo 2022, muaj qee qhov kev hloov pauv hauv kev lag luam, nrog rau cov chaw xa tawm tseem ceeb tau dhau los ua Middle East, North America, thiab Southeast Asia, thaum cov cheeb tsam tseem ceeb yog Northeast Asia, India, Europe, thiab South America. Lub cheeb tsam Middle East yog lub ntiaj teb loj tshaj plaws exporter ntawm cov khoom styrene, nrog rau nws cov ntsiab lus xa tawm xws li Europe, Northeast Asia, thiab Is Nrias teb. North America yog lub ntiaj teb thib ob loj tshaj plaws exporter ntawm cov khoom styrene, nrog rau feem ntau ntawm US cov khoom xa tawm mus rau Mexico thiab South America, thaum tus so yog xa mus rau Asia thiab Europe. Cov teb chaws Esxias sab hnub tuaj xws li Singapore, Indonesia, thiab Malaysia kuj tseem xa tawm qee yam khoom styrene, feem ntau yog rau Northeast Asia, South Asia, thiab Is Nrias teb. Northeast Asia yog lub ntiaj teb tus neeg xa khoom loj tshaj plaws ntawm styrene, nrog Tuam Tshoj thiab Kaus Lim Qab Teb yog lub teb chaws tseem ceeb. Txawm li cas los xij, nyob rau hauv ob xyoos dhau los, nrog rau kev nthuav dav ntawm Tuam Tshoj tus styrene ntau lawm muaj peev xwm thiab cov kev hloov loj hauv lub thoob ntiaj teb tus nqi sib txawv, Tuam Tshoj txoj kev loj hlob ntawm kev xa tawm tau nce ntau, lub sijhawm rau kev rov qab arbitrage rau South Kauslim, Tuam Tshoj tau nce. , thiab kev thauj mus los hauv hiav txwv kuj tau nthuav dav mus rau Tebchaws Europe, Türkiye thiab lwm qhov chaw. Txawm hais tias muaj kev thov siab rau styrene hauv South Asia thiab Indian kev lag luam, lawv tam sim no tseem ceeb ntawm cov khoom lag luam styrene vim tsis muaj peev txheej ethylene thiab cov nroj tsuag styrene tsawg dua.

Nyob rau hauv lub neej yav tom ntej, Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam styrene yuav sib tw nrog cov khoom siv los ntawm Kaus Lim Qab Teb, Nyiv thiab lwm lub teb chaws hauv kev lag luam hauv tsev, thiab tom qab ntawd pib sib tw nrog lwm cov khoom lag luam hauv kev lag luam sab nraud Suav Mainland. Qhov no yuav ua rau muaj kev faib tawm tshiab hauv kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb.


Post lub sij hawm: Oct-11-2023