Hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2022, kev lag luam hauv tsev ethylene glycol yuav hloov pauv hauv kev ua si ntawm tus nqi siab thiab kev thov qis. Nyob rau hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm Russia thiab Ukraine, tus nqi ntawm cov roj crude txuas ntxiv nce siab nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, ua rau kom nce nqi ntawm raw cov ntaub ntawv thiab lub widening nqi sib txawv ntawm naphtha thiab ethylene glycol.
Txawm hais tias nyob rau hauv lub siab ntawm tus nqi, feem ntau ethylene glycol cov chaw tsim khoom tau ua rau lawv lub nra hnyav, qhov txuas ntxiv ntawm COVID-19 kev sib kis tau ua rau muaj qhov cuam tshuam loj ntawm qhov kev thov davhlau ya nyob twg, txuas ntxiv tsis muaj zog hauv ethylene glycol xav tau, txuas ntxiv txuas ntxiv ntawm cov khoom muag chaw nres nkoj, thiab ib qho tshiab. xyoo siab. Tus nqi ntawm ethylene glycol hloov pauv hauv qhov kev ua si ntawm tus nqi siab thiab cov khoom tsis muaj zog thiab kev xav tau, thiab qhov pib hloov pauv ntawm 4500-5800 yuan / ton hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo. Nrog rau kev fermentation tsis tu ncua ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam poob qis, tus nqi hloov pauv ntawm cov roj av yav tom ntej tau txo qis, thiab cov nqi them nyiaj yug tau poob qis. Txawm li cas los xij, qhov kev thov rau cov dej hauv qab polyester txuas ntxiv mus qeeb. Nrog rau kev kub siab ntawm cov nyiaj, kev lag luam ethylene glycol ua rau nws poob qis hauv ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, thiab tus nqi pheej rov ua dua tshiab hauv lub xyoo. Thaum pib lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2022, tus nqi qis tshaj poob rau 3740 yuan / ton.
Tsis tu ncua tso tawm tshiab muaj peev xwm ntau lawm thiab incremental khoom
Txij li xyoo 2020, Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam ethylene glycol tau nkag mus rau lub voj voog tsim tawm tshiab. Cov khoom siv sib xyaw ua ke yog lub zog tseem ceeb rau kev loj hlob ntawm ethylene glycol tsim muaj peev xwm. Txawm li cas los xij, hauv 2022, kev tsim cov chav sib xyaw ua ke feem ntau yuav raug ncua, thiab tsuas yog Zhenhai Petrochemical Phase II thiab Zhejiang Petrochemical Unit 3 yuav raug muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm. Kev loj hlob muaj peev xwm ntau lawm hauv 2022 yuav yog los ntawm cov nroj tsuag thee.
Thaum kawg ntawm lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2022, Tuam Tshoj tus ethylene glycol muaj peev xwm tsim tau mus txog 24.585 lab tons, ib xyoos ib zaug nce ntawm 27%, suav nrog txog 3.7 lab tons ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tshiab.
Raws li cov ntaub ntawv soj ntsuam kev lag luam ntawm Ministry of Commerce, txij lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2022, tus nqi hluav taws xob niaj hnub thoob plaws lub tebchaws yuav nyob hauv thaj tsam ntawm 891-1016 yuan / ton. Tus nqi hluav taws xob tau hloov pauv ntau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, thiab qhov sib txawv yog nyob rau hauv ib nrab thib ob.
Geopolitical txaus ntshai, COVID-19 thiab txoj cai nyiaj txiag ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau muaj kev cuam tshuam muaj zog ntawm cov roj av thoob ntiaj teb hauv xyoo 2022. Kev cuam tshuam los ntawm qhov sib txawv me ntsis ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob, cov txiaj ntsig kev lag luam ntawm thee glycol yuav tsum tau txhim kho, tab sis qhov xwm txheej tiag tiag. tsis yog optimistic. Vim tias qhov kev thov tsis muaj zog thiab qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev tsim khoom hauv online ntawm lub peev xwm tshiab xyoo no, kev khiav hauj lwm tus nqi ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob glycol poob mus txog 30% hauv peb lub hlis twg, thiab kev ua haujlwm txhua xyoo thiab cov txiaj ntsig tau qis dua qhov kev cia siab ntawm kev lag luam.
Tag nrho cov txiaj ntsig ntawm qee qhov peev txheej tsim hluav taws xob tau qhia hauv ib nrab xyoo 2022 yog txwv. Raws li qhov chaw ua haujlwm ruaj khov, lub siab ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tuaj yeem ua kom tob ntxiv hauv 2023.
Tsis tas li ntawd, ntau cov ethylene glycol tshiab tau npaj yuav muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm hauv 2023, thiab nws tau kwv yees tias qhov kev loj hlob ntawm ethylene glycol muaj peev xwm tsim tau hauv Suav teb yuav nyob ib puag ncig 20% hauv 2023.
Cov tuam txhab nyiaj txiag thoob ntiaj teb kwv yees tias tus nqi roj av thoob ntiaj teb yuav nyob rau theem siab hauv 2023, qhov siab ntawm cov nqi siab tseem yuav muaj nyob, thiab pib thauj khoom ntawm ethylene glycol yuav nyuaj rau nce, uas yuav txwv kev loj hlob ntawm cov khoom siv hauv tsev. rau ib qho twg.
Nws yog ib qho nyuaj rau nce lub ntim ntshuam, thiab import dependence los yog ntxiv poob
Txij Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2022, Tuam Tshoj tus ethylene glycol ntshuam ntim yuav yog 6.96 lab tons, 10% qis dua tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los.
Ua tib zoo saib cov ntaub ntawv ntshuam. Tsuas yog Saudi Arabia, Canada thiab Tebchaws Meskas, qhov ntim ntawm lwm qhov chaw ntshuam tau poob qis. Kev ntim khoom ntawm Taiwan,
Singapore thiab lwm qhov chaw poob qis heev.
Ntawm qhov tod tes, kev poob qis hauv kev xa khoom yog vim tus nqi siab, thiab feem ntau ntawm cov khoom siv tau pib poob. Ntawm qhov tod tes, vim qhov kev poob qis hauv Suav cov nqi tas li, cov neeg muag khoom txaus siab rau kev xa tawm mus rau Tuam Tshoj tau poob qis heev. Thib peb, vim qhov tsis muaj zog ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam polyester, cov khoom siv pib poob qis, thiab qhov kev thov rau cov khoom siv raw tsis muaj zog.
Xyoo 2022, Tuam Tshoj txoj kev cia siab rau kev xa khoom ntawm ethylene glycol yuav poob mus rau 39.6%, thiab nws xav tias yuav poob ntxiv rau xyoo 2023.
Nws tau tshaj tawm tias OPEC + tuaj yeem txo qis kev tsim khoom tom qab, thiab cov khoom siv raw hauv Middle East tseem yuav tsis txaus. Nyob rau hauv lub siab ntawm tus nqi, kev tsim kho ntawm txawv teb chaws ethylene glycol nroj tsuag, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov nyob rau hauv Asia, yog ib qho nyuaj rau txhim kho ho. Tsis tas li ntawd, cov neeg muag khoom tseem yuav muab qhov tseem ceeb rau lwm thaj chaw. Nws tau hais tias qee tus neeg xa khoom yuav txo lawv cov ntawv cog lus nrog cov neeg siv khoom Suav thaum lub sijhawm sib tham txog daim ntawv cog lus hauv 2023.
Hais txog lub peev xwm tsim khoom tshiab, Is Nrias teb thiab Iran npaj yuav pib ua lag luam thaum kawg ntawm 2022 thiab pib ntawm 2023. Is Nrias teb cov peev txheej tsim khoom tseem yog cov khoom siv hauv zos, thiab qhov tshwj xeeb ntawm Iran cov khoom siv ntshuam mus rau Tuam Tshoj kuj yuav raug txwv.
Kev thov tsis muaj zog hauv Tebchaws Europe thiab Tebchaws Meskas txwv txoj hauv kev xa tawm
Raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm ICIS cov khoom siv thiab kev thov database, txij Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2022, Tuam Tshoj tus ethylene glycol export ntim yuav yog 38500 tons, nqis 69% piv nrog tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los.
Saib ze ntawm cov ntaub ntawv xa tawm, hauv 2022, Tuam Tshoj tau nce nws cov khoom xa tawm mus rau Bangladesh, thiab los ntawm 2021, kev xa tawm ntawm Tebchaws Europe thiab Türkiye, cov chaw xa tawm tseem ceeb, yuav poob qis heev. Ntawm qhov tod tes, vim tag nrho qhov tsis muaj zog ntawm kev thov txawv teb chaws, ntawm qhov tod tes, vim muaj peev xwm thauj khoom nruj, cov khoom thauj yog siab.
Nrog rau kev nthuav dav ntxiv ntawm Tuam Tshoj cov cuab yeej siv, nws yog qhov yuav tsum tau tawm ntawm castration. Nrog rau kev yooj yim ntawm congestion thiab nce kev thauj mus los muaj peev xwm, tus nqi thauj khoom tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv mus rau xyoo 2023, uas yuav muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau kev lag luam xa tawm.
Txawm li cas los xij, thaum lub ntiaj teb kev lag luam nkag mus rau lub voj voog kev poob qis, qhov kev thov ntawm Tebchaws Europe thiab Tebchaws Meskas yuav nyuaj rau kev txhim kho tseem ceeb thiab txuas ntxiv txwv Tuam Tshoj cov khoom xa tawm ethylene glycol. Cov neeg muag khoom hauv Suav teb yuav tsum nrhiav cov hauv kev xa tawm hauv lwm thaj chaw tshiab.
Kev loj hlob tus nqi yog qis dua qhov khoom
Nyob rau hauv 2022, lub peev xwm tshiab ntawm polyester yuav yog li ntawm 4.55 lab tons, nrog rau ib xyoos ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm kwv yees li 7%, uas tseem yog tus thawj coj los ntawm kev nthuav dav ntawm cov lag luam polyester. Nws tau tshaj tawm tias ntau yam khoom siv thaum xub thawj npaj yuav muab tso rau hauv kev tsim khoom xyoo no tau ncua sijhawm.
Tag nrho cov xwm txheej ntawm polyester lag luam hauv 2022 tsis txaus siab. Kev sib kis tsis tu ncua ntawm kev sib kis tau muaj kev cuam tshuam loj rau qhov kev thov ntawm lub davhlau ya nyob twg. Qhov tsis muaj zog hauv kev thov thiab xa tawm tau ua rau cov nroj tsuag polyester cuam tshuam. Qhov pib ntawm qhov project yog qis dua li tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los.
Nyob rau hauv ib puag ncig kev lag luam tam sim no, cov neeg koom ua lag luam tsis muaj kev ntseeg siab rau kev thov rov qab los. Txawm hais tias muaj peev xwm polyester tshiab tuaj yeem muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm raws sijhawm yog qhov hloov pauv loj, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog rau qee yam khoom siv me me. Xyoo 2023, lub peev xwm polyester tshiab yuav nyob twj ywm ntawm 4-5 lab tons / xyoo, thiab qhov peev xwm loj hlob tuaj yeem nyob ntawm kwv yees li 7%.
Chemwinyog lub tuam txhab tshuaj raw khoom lag luam nyob hauv Suav teb, nyob hauv Shanghai Pudong New Area, nrog lub network ntawm cov chaw nres nkoj, cov chaw nres nkoj, tshav dav hlau thiab kev tsheb ciav hlau thauj mus los, thiab nrog cov khoom siv tshuaj lom neeg thiab phom sij hauv Shanghai, Guangzhou, Jiangyin, Dalian thiab Ningbo Zhoushan, Suav. , khaws cia ntau tshaj 50,000 tons ntawm cov khoom siv raw khoom txhua xyoo, nrog cov khoom txaus, txais tos yuav thiab nug. chaw email:service@skychemwin.comwhatsapp: 19117288062 Tel: +86 4008620777 +86 19117288062
Post lub sij hawm: Jan-06-2023