TusAcrylonitrileKev lag luam siv lub peev xwm tso tawm hauv 2022, uas muaj peev xwm loj hlob ntau dua 10% thawm xyoo thiab ua kom muaj zog ntxiv. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, peb pom tias qhov kev thov tsis xav tau zoo li nws yuav tsum yog vim muaj kev kis mob, thiab muaj qhov chaw ruaj khov los nrhiav.

Cov ntaub ntawv tau los: Goldlink

Lub tsev ua lag luam acrestic acrylonitrile hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2022 pom tias muaj kev poob thawj zaug ua ntej los ntawm ntau yam oscillation dominated. Noj rau sab hnub tuaj Suav lag luam ua ib qho piv txwv, tus nqi nruab nrab hauv RMB 13,29% xyoo dhau los ntawm RMB 10,800 / nyhav ib xyoo, uas tau tshwm sim nyob rau lub Rau Hli.

Qhov tseem ceeb rau kev ua lag luam yog.

I. Muab nce ntxiv. 2022 yog tseem yog ib xyoos ntawm kev nthuav dav hauv tsev acrylonitrile nthuav dav, muab tso rau li cas ntawm cov nroj tsuag Txawm hais tias lub ntim ntim xa tawm muaj hnub nyoog 12.1% xyoo-nyob rau-xyoo txij li lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Tsib Hlis, cov khoom thiab kev thov tseem tau tsim kom tsim kom muaj xoob.

Thib ob, kev rov tshwm sim ntawm tus kabmob coj mus nce siab ntawm cov khoom lag luam hauv lub Hoobkas. Txij li thaum nkag mus rau 2022 nws ib txwm nyob rau hauv theem oversupply, cov khoom lag luam nrawm nrawm, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd, tom qab ntawd

Qhov thib peb, txoj kev lag luam hauv qab kev lag luam poob qis kev loj hlob. 150,000 tons / xyoo tshiab LG Huizhou nroj tsuag tau ntxiv rau Abs hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo yog ze li 80%, uas qhia tau tias cov nroj tsuag muag kom siab.

Hauv qhov thib ob ib nrab ntawm 2022, Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam Acrylonitrile yuav txuas ntxiv nws qhov chaw qis qis oscillation sib, thiab qhov chaw haum tag nrho yog qhov tsawg. Tsis tas li ntawd, acrylonitrile muaj peev xwm ntau lawm nce ntau nyob rau hauv lub ib nrab xyoo ntawm lub xyoo, thiab tus nqi ntawm cov khoom lag luam tuaj yeem nce mus ntxiv. However, downstream only ABS is expected to have new devices put into operation, the overall demand is limited, under the mismatch between supply and demand, acrylonitrile supply and demand contradictions will continue to increase, when the factory opening is also difficult to enhance, larger capacity enterprises will purchase negative measures. Txij li Acrylonitrile feem ntau yog feem ntau nyob hauv tus nqi kab, nws tseem tsim nyog kom them sai sai rau cov qauv ntawm cov khoom nyoos. Ex-Hoobkas cov nqi (cov nqi lag luam) yuav tsum tau nyob hauv cov ntau ntawm RMB 10,000 / mt nyob rau hauv lub cheeb tsam tseem ceeb, nrog lub siab tseem ceeb tshwm sim hauv lub Yim Hli.

Hauv Suav teb Acrylonitrile lag luam nyob rau hauv lub ib nrab ntawm 2022, Pub feedock Propylene yog lub ntsiab tseem ceeb rau cov kev hloov pauv. Txij li thaum muaj peev xwm tseem ceeb nyob rau hauv ib nrab xyoo ntawm lub xyoo yog ib qho kev xaus lus xaus, nws yog qhov nyuaj uas muaj lub sijhawm tseem ceeb nyob rau hauv ib nrab xyoo. Yog li ntawd, tus nqi ntawm raw khoom propylene yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb los txiav txim tus nqi ntawm acrylonitrile. Yog tias muaj mob tom ntej nyob ze RMB 8,000 / mt, nws yuav nyuaj rau acrylonitrile mus txuas ntxiv mus ntxiv. Txawm li cas los xij, yog tias tus nqe propylene tseem poob qis, acrylolonitrile nqe yuav tseem muaj peev xwm muaj peev xwm poob qis rau hauv lub siab oversupply.

Txij li 2022 txog 2023, Tuam Tshoj yuav ntxiv 1.38 lab tons / xyoo acrylonitrile nroj tsuag, thiab ntau ntawm lawv tau muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm. Txawm li cas los xij, kav dej tsuas yog kev tsim kho, xws li Acrylics thiab AcryLamide yog nyob rau hauv ib lub xeev sov, uas yuav tsis muaj qhov xwm txheej oversupinly. Nws cia siab tias nyob rau peb lub xyoos tom ntej, nrog kev nthuav dav ntawm acrylonitrile muaj peev xwm, thiab qee qhov kev lag luam tshiab tau ntsib kev ua kom qeeb thiab muab cov ntaub ntawv qeeb qeeb.

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